<mods:mods xmlns:mods="http://www.loc.gov/mods/v3" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" ID="etd1667" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.loc.gov/mods/v3 http://www.loc.gov/standards/mods/v3/mods-3-2.xsd">
    <mods:titleInfo>
        <mods:title>Bayesian Inference in Statistical Analysis of Paleoclimate Records

</mods:title>
    </mods:titleInfo><mods:name type="personal">
        <mods:namePart>Ahn, Seonmin </mods:namePart>
    <mods:role>
        <mods:roleTerm type="text">creator</mods:roleTerm>
    </mods:role>
    </mods:name>
<mods:originInfo>
    <mods:copyrightDate>2016</mods:copyrightDate>
</mods:originInfo>
<mods:physicalDescription>
        <mods:extent>xiv, 183 p.</mods:extent>
        <mods:digitalOrigin>born digital</mods:digitalOrigin>
</mods:physicalDescription>
<mods:note>Thesis (Ph.D. -- Brown University (2016)</mods:note>
<mods:name type="personal">
<mods:namePart>Lawrence, Charles</mods:namePart>
<mods:role>
<mods:roleTerm type="text">Director</mods:roleTerm>
</mods:role>
</mods:name>

<mods:name type="personal">
<mods:namePart>Herbert, Timothy</mods:namePart>
<mods:role>
<mods:roleTerm type="text">Reader</mods:roleTerm>
</mods:role>
</mods:name>

<mods:name type="personal">
<mods:namePart>Lisiecki, Lorraine</mods:namePart>
<mods:role>
<mods:roleTerm type="text">Reader</mods:roleTerm>
</mods:role>
</mods:name>
<mods:name type="corporate">
        <mods:namePart>Brown University. Applied Mathematics</mods:namePart>
        <mods:role>
            <mods:roleTerm type="text">sponsor</mods:roleTerm>
        </mods:role>
        </mods:name>
    <mods:genre authority="aat">theses</mods:genre>
    <mods:abstract>Studies in paleoclimatology should be accompanied by uncertainty analyses, as uncertainty is found within the very first measurements of the proxies imprinted in geological records. From there, due to the nature of measurements and the complexity of the methods, uncertainty continues to increase throughout the process of analysis. Complete descriptions of paleoclimate records are achieved only through using algorithms that consider uncertainties that are inherent to both paleoclimate records and methods of analysis.

In this thesis, we introduce three statistical tools based on Bayesian inference to analyze paleoclimate records and present results using the three tools. First, we construct a probabilistic stack from globally distributed benthic δ18O records using a profile hidden Markov model. Next, we investigate the relative timings of glacial terminations between the eastern and western tropical Pacific by combining three statistical tools: Bayesian calibration, HMM-Match algorithm, and Bayesian change point algorithm. Lastly, we analyze multidimensional paleoclimate proxies measured from the core at the central Peru margin to obtain their cross-correlation and underlying state changes using the Kalman filter and the hidden Markov autoregressive model. we expect the statistical tools that we introduce in this thesis to play a critical role in rigorously analyzing paleoclimate data.</mods:abstract>

    <mods:subject>
        <mods:topic>Bayesian statistical analysis</mods:topic>
    </mods:subject>

    <mods:subject>
        <mods:topic>Paleoclimate analysis</mods:topic>
    </mods:subject>

    <mods:recordInfo>
        <mods:recordContentSource authority="marcorg">RPB</mods:recordContentSource>
        <mods:recordCreationDate encoding="iso8601">20160629</mods:recordCreationDate>        
    </mods:recordInfo>
<mods:language xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><mods:languageTerm type="code" authority="iso639-2b">eng</mods:languageTerm><mods:languageTerm type="text">English</mods:languageTerm></mods:language><mods:identifier xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" type="doi">10.7301/Z0DN43GC</mods:identifier><mods:accessCondition xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" type="rights statement" xlink:href="http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/">In Copyright</mods:accessCondition><mods:accessCondition type="restriction on access">Collection is open for research.</mods:accessCondition><mods:typeOfResource xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" authority="primo">dissertations</mods:typeOfResource></mods:mods>