Title Information
Title
Applying machine learning to the identification of adolescent psychiatric patients at risk for suicidal events
Name: Personal
Name Part
Goldman, Victoria
Role
Role Term: Text
creator
Name: Personal
Name Part
Wolff, Jennifer C.
Role
Role Term: Text
creator
Name: Personal
Name Part
Jacobucci, Ross
Role
Role Term: Text
creator
Name: Personal
Name Part
Frazier, Elizabeth A.
Role
Role Term: Text
creator
Name: Personal
Name Part
Quaratella, Sarah B.
Role
Role Term: Text
creator
Name: Personal
Name Part
Kaskas, Maysa
Role
Role Term: Text
creator
Name: Personal
Name Part
Seuch, Brian
Role
Role Term: Text
creator
Name: Personal
Name Part
Hunt, Jeffrey I.
Role
Role Term: Text
creator
Type of Resource
text
Genre (aat)
posters
Origin Information
Date Created (keyDate="yes", encoding="w3cdtf")
2017
Language
Language Term: Code (ISO639-2B)
eng
Note (displayLabel="Scholarly concentration")
Non-Scholarly concentrator
Abstract
Suicide is the second leading cause of death of adolescents, yet research has not been able to surface many indicators with high predictive power. Machine learning is a statistical method, infrequently applied in the field of Psychiatry, which allows for the analysis of vast amounts of data to narrow in on unbiased outcomes. This method can identify predictive factors previously overlooked by traditional approaches as well as previously unidentified connections between known contributing factors. The adolescents (n= 761) in this study were admitted to a psychiatric inpatient unit between March 2016 and March 2017. During this period, they completed the Youth Self Report (YSR), a self-report measure to assess problematic behaviors and social competence, as well as the Children's Interview for Psychiatric Syndrome (ChIPS), a structured diagnostic interview to screen for DSM-IV-TR diagnoses. Re-Hospitalizations and suicide attempts within 30 days post discharge were identified through a chart review of Electronic Medical Records (EMRs). Data analyses using Random Forest, Elastic Net, and Decision Tree machine learning techniques determined the variables with highest predictive value. These factors included length of stay, visit age, Acute Stress Disorder Diagnoses and Psychosis Diagnosis from ChIPS, and "I have aches/pains," "I feel dizzy," "I wish I were of the opposite sex," and "I deliberately try to hurt / kill myself" from the YSR. The statistical importance should be improved through re-running the analysis to identify predictors of survival analysis or time until identified events (combining re-hospitalization and suicide attempts) while also incorporating insurance types as a predictor. The ability to accurately predict suicidal behaviors is of critical importance to improving mental health care, yet, current predictive ability is low. Thus, the finding that machine learning was able to identify some factors as predictive, even with modest statistical significance, demonstrates proof of concept and provides important reason to continue applying machine learning techniques to this clinical challenge.
Subject (LCSH)
Topic
Suicide
Subject (LCSH)
Topic
Teenagers
Subject (LCSH)
Topic
Machine learning
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