Title Information
Title
A Stochastic Simulation for Evolution in a Changing Environment: Understanding Pyrimethamine Resistance in Plasmodium falciparum.
Abstract
As a malaria patient takes and metabolizes weekly doses of an anti-malarial pyrimethamine, there is a periodic change in drug concentration. The growth rate, or “fitness,” of a genotype changes with the drug concentration. Previous drug resistance research has considered the time-averaged fitness a suitable statistic, but defining the fitness of a genotype as a dynamic variable can change the outcome of evolution. Generally, there is a fitness trade-off for drug resistance: increased drug resistance comes with a drop in growth rate in the drugless environment. The drug resistant genotype will “win” while drug concentration is high, but if the drug concentration drops, that genotype will “lose” to other, less drug resistant genotypes. This is why changing drug concentration is meaningful. To explore this system, we simulate the evolution of drug resistance of a 16-genotype malaria population within a single human host as the drug concentration changes periodically. The simulation attempts to capture the randomness that exists in vivo: it is stochastic in both reproduction and mutation. We also compare several single- and multi-locus positive controls to classical analytic predictions. The simulation is generalized for an array of evolution questions. We expand on classical evolution theory and use the simulation to evaluate our mathematical results for multi-locus, haploid predictions for probability of fixation and heterozygosity. Our investigation of pyrimethamine resistance in malaria suggests that the changing drug concentration in the host does not affect the outcome of evolution because there is no fitness trade-off over clinically relevant, in vivo drug concentrations.
Name: Personal
Name Part
Bronson, Ryan
Role
Role Term (marcrelator) (authorityURI="http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators", valueURI="http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/cre")
creator
Name: Personal
Name Part
Weinreich, Daniel
Role
Role Term (marcrelator) (authorityURI="http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators", valueURI="http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/ths")
thesis advisor
Name: Personal
Name Part
Lawrence, Charles
Role
Role Term
reader
Name: Corporate
Name Part
Brown University. Applied Mathematics
Role
Role Term: Text
sponsor
Origin Information
Copyright Date
2019
Type of Resource
text
Physical Description
digitalOrigin
born digital
Language
Language Term: Text (ISO639-2B) (authorityURI="http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/iso639-2.html", valueURI="http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/iso639-2/eng")
English
Note: thesis
Senior thesis (ScB)--Brown University, 2019
Note (displayLabel="Concentration")
Applied Mathematics-Biology
Genre (aat)
theses
Subject (fast) (authorityURI="http://id.worldcat.org/fast", valueURI="http://id.worldcat.org/fast/01066401")
Topic
Plasmodium falciparum
Subject (fast) (authorityURI="http://id.worldcat.org/fast", valueURI="http://id.worldcat.org/fast/01006343")
Topic
Malaria
Subject (fast) (authorityURI="http://id.worldcat.org/fast", valueURI="http://id.worldcat.org/fast/00898701")
Topic
Drug resistance
Subject (fast) (authorityURI="http://id.worldcat.org/fast", valueURI="http://id.worldcat.org/fast/01071586")
Topic
Population genetics--Mathematical models
Subject (fast) (authorityURI="http://id.worldcat.org/fast", valueURI="http://id.worldcat.org/fast/00917302")
Topic
Evolution (Biology)
Subject (fast) (authorityURI="http://id.worldcat.org/fast", valueURI="http://id.worldcat.org/fast/01133522")
Topic
Stochastic processes--Computer simulation
Subject (fast) (authorityURI="http://id.worldcat.org/fast", valueURI="http://id.worldcat.org/fast/01734573")
Topic
Heterozygosity
Identifier: DOI
10.26300/rwz4-qj54
Access Condition: rights statement (href="http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/")
In Copyright
Access Condition: restriction on access
Collection is open for research.